c c This program computes the price of a European option (call and put) c using the simple jump diffusion model of Kou (2002) discussed in Chapter 6 c of the book Tsay (2002). c c The program is intended for use in my course ``Analysis of Financial Time c Series'' at GSB. I tested the program, but errors may still exist. Please c bring any error to my attention. c c You may use the program at your own risk! Ruey S. Tsay, December 2000. ccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccc c implicit double precision(a-h,o-z) c write(6,1) 1 format(1x,'Current and strike prices: ',$) read(5,*) pr, sk write(6,2) 2 format(1x,'time to expiration (in years): ',$) read(5,*) dt write(6,3) 3 format(1x,'Interest rate and volatility (std): ',$) read(5,*) free, sig if(sig .le. 0.0d0)then print*,'volatility must be positive!' stop endif write(6,4) 4 format(1x,'lambda, kappa, eta: ',$) read(5,*) poi, rka, eta if((eta.le.0.0d0).or.(eta.gt.1.0d0))then print*,'eta is out of range!' stop endif c nterm = 10 write(6,5) 5 format(1x,'terms of truncation? (default = 10): ',$) read(5,*) nterm if(nterm .le. 10) nterm = 10 if(nterm .gt. 16) nterm = 16 c psi = dexp(rka)/(1.0d0-eta*eta)-1.0d0 prsk = dlog(pr/sk) sigsrt = sig*dsqrt(dt) sig2h = sig*sig/2.0d0 tlamb = poi*dt rtexp = dexp(-free*dt) ome1 = -prsk+tlamb*psi-(free-sig2h)*dt w1 = poi*psi*dt sigt = dexp(sig*sig*dt/(2.0d0*eta*eta)) st2pi = dsqrt(6.28318530718d0) steta = sigsrt/eta c c----- compute the portion of geometric Brownian motion hp = (prsk+(free+sig2h-poi*psi)*dt)/sigsrt hm = (prsk+(free-sig2h-poi*psi)*dt)/sigsrt call gauss(hp,cdf1) call gauss(hm,cdf2) cgeo = dexp(-tlamb)*(pr*dexp(-w1)*cdf1-sk*rtexp*cdf2) print*,'Price due to the geometric part: ', cgeo c---- compute the price for the jump process portion c cj = 0.0d0 c do 100 n = 1, nterm tmp = dfloat(n)*rka/sigsrt bp = hp+tmp bm = hm+tmp ome = ome1-dfloat(n)*rka tmp1 = ome/sigsrt cp = steta+tmp1 cm = steta-tmp1 omexp = dexp(ome/eta) omexpi = dexp(-ome/eta) a11 = dexp(-w1+dfloat(n)*rka)*pr/2.0d0 a22 = rtexp*omexpi*sigt*sk/2.0d0 a33 = rtexp*omexp*sigt*sk/2.0d0 c call gauss(bp,cdf1) call gauss(bm,cdf2) c fac = factor(n) npow = 2**(2*n-1) coef = (tlamb**n)*dexp(-tlamb)/fac c a = 0.0d0 do 50 j=1, n m = 2*n-j-1 call comb(m,n-1,icnt) icnt = icnt*(2**j) coef1 = coef*dfloat(icnt)/dfloat(npow) a1 = (1.0d0/(1.0d0-eta)**j+1.0d0/(1.0d0+eta)**j)*a11*cdf1 & -rtexp*sk*cdf2 a2 = 0.0d0 a3 = 0.0d0 do 30 ii=1, j i = ii-1 w2 = 1.0d0/(1.0d0-eta)**(j-i)-1.0d0 w2 = w2*(steta**i)*hh(cm,i)/st2pi w3 = 1.0d0-1.0d0/(1.0d0+eta)**(j-i) w3 = w3*(steta**i)*hh(cp,i)/st2pi a2 = a2 + w2 a3 = a3 + w3 30 continue a2 = a2*a22 a3 = a3*a33 a = coef1*(a1+a2+a3)+a 50 continue cj = cj + a 100 continue c print*,'price due to jump component: ', cj c = cj + cgeo print*,'Price of a call: ', c c c---- put option c p = c+sk*dexp(-free*dt)-pr c print*,'Price of a put: ', p c stop end c ccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccc subroutine comb(m,n,icnt) c----- combites the combinations implicit double precision(a-h,o-z) if((m .lt. n).or.(m .lt. 0))then icnt = 0 return endif if(m.eq.n)then icnt = 1 return endif c n1 = 1 do 5 j=n, 1, -1 5 n1 = n1*j c icnt = 1 do 10 i=m, (m-n+1), -1 10 icnt =icnt*i icnt = icnt/n1 return end ccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccc double precision function factor(n) implicit double precision(a-h,o-z) c if(n .lt. 0)then factor = 0.0d0 return endif if(n.le. 1)then factor = 1.0d0 return endif a = 1.0d0 do 10 i=n, 1, -1 10 a = a*dfloat(i) factor = a c return end cccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccc double precision function hh(x,n) c implicit double precision(a-h,o-z) dimension h(100) if(n .gt. 100)then print*,'dimension in Hn function is too low!' stop endif c pisqt = dsqrt(6.28318530718d0) h(1) = dexp(-x*x/2.0d0) if(n .eq. -1)then hh = h(1) return endif tmp = -x call gauss(tmp,cdf) h(2) = pisqt*cdf if(n .eq. 0)then hh = h(2) return endif do 40 j=3, 2+n 40 h(j) = (h(j-2)-x*h(j-1))/dfloat(j-2) 50 continue c hh = h(n+2) c return end ccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccc subroutine gauss(x,cdf) c implicit double precision(a-h,o-z) dimension a(5) c a(1) = 0.319381530d0 a(2) = -0.356563782d0 a(3) = 1.781477937d0 a(4) = -1.821255978d0 a(5) = 1.330274429d0 c c---------------- n: is used to indicate negative value. n = 0 c if(x .lt. 0.0d0) then x = -x n = 1 endif xk = 1.0d0/(1.0d0+0.2316419d0*x) xf = dexp(-x*x/2.0d0)/dsqrt(6.28318530718d0) tmp = 0.0d0 do 10 i=1, 5 10 tmp = tmp + a(i)*xk**i cdf = 1.0d0-xf*tmp if(n.eq.1)cdf = 1.0d0-cdf c return end cccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccccc